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Welcome
The foreign exchange market (forex, FX, or currency market) is a worldwide decentralized over-the-counter financial market for the trading of currencies. Financial centers around the world function as anchors of trading between a wide range of different types of buyers and sellers around the clock, with the exception of weekends.
The purpose of the foreign exchange market is to assist international trade and investment. The foreign exchange market allows businesses to convert one currency to another. For example, it permits a U.S. business to import European goods and pay Euros, even though the business's income is in U.S. dollars.
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FOREX.com's currency charts combine a rich, intuitive interface with easy access to the tools and resources you demand for forex trading.
Our professional-grade FOREXTrader Charts provide you with easy access and complete control. Click the above video tutorial to learn more. |
Our FOREXTrader Charts are fully integrated on the FOREXTrader PRO platform. A streamlined layout makes it easy to access commonly used features and indicators.
Whether you use Stochastics, Bollinger Bands, Moving Averages, Ichimoku or Fibonacci, you can find over 70 technical and line studies right within the charting application.
- Identify trends in the market with over 70 customisable technical indicators
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ForexCharts by eSignal
ForexCharts by eSignal is a complete charting package developed by a leading provider of real-time market information and award-winning products and services.
The ForexCharts by eSignalpackage provides indicators and drawing tools for trend analysis and to identify potential entry and exit points, and includes the following features:
- Real time data feed powered by FOREX.com for the majors and several crosses
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Forex Research
Our award-winning research team brings you insights and tips, direct from our seasoned traders. Divided into weekly, daily and intraday research, we cover both fundamental and technical indicators.
Our Intraday commentary includes FOREX Insider and the widely read Market Updates. Follow the market with our traders as they decode the market's movements, point out emerging chart patterns and analyze key data releases' impact on the currency markets, as they happen.
FOREX Insider
Forex Insider provides you with actionable analysis of news, events and technical levels that impact currency prices - as it happens. Updates are published directly by the senior traders and members of our experienced research team, up to 20 times an hour. Take advantage of their proximity to institutional buy and sell side action, as they trade over $100 billion a month with the world's largest financial institutions.
Forex Insider is available directly within the platform, allowing you to act quickly on the information. To access Forex Insider, click the "Commentary" tab.
FOREX.com Market Updates
Actionable research published three times daily, after the close of each major trading session in Tokyo, London, and New York. Each update summarizes the key takeaways from each trading session. Find out how each major market may impact upcoming price action, and learn about important technical levels and events to watch.
Strategy of the Day
Published twice a day before the Asian and New York markets open, Strategy of the Day gives you a fresh, ready-to-use trading idea for the upcoming trading session. Currency Strategist Todd Gordon explains step by step how to set up the trade and why he thinks it's a smart move, reporting back on the results and lessons learned.
Daily Technical Analysis Report
For avid chartists. Published every morning at 0800 ET, this report x-rays 12 key currency pairs for short, medium, and long term momentums as well as key support/resistance levels. Keep your eye on these "tripwires" for market action - so you can trade with the trend, as soon as it starts.
Pivot Points
Updated at the close of each business day, we provide three levels of support and resistance for 37 currency pairs. When used in conjunction with other technical indicators, and research, pivot points can provide technical traders additional confirmation for anticipated support and resistance levels.
Trading Central's Daily Technical Levels
Get the latest technical levels for six major currency pairs delivered right to your inbox twice each day, at the beginning and end of the NY trading session. Each report provides support, resistance, momentum and trend analysis, along with anticipated price action and trading strategies for the upcoming session, all in an easy to read newsletter format. Trading Central is a leading investment research provider to financial market professionals. Their technical strategies cover forex, commodities, equity, index, and fixed-income markets.
The Week Ahead
Published every Friday at 1500 ET, this report summarizes key market developments – both fundamental and technical - and analyzes the likely impact on the upcoming trading week. It's a quick, compact way to keep a handle on the overall currency market.
The Weekly Strategy
If you're a swing trader, check out the Weekly Strategy every Friday at 1500 ET for trading opportunities to consider in the upcoming week. We set up the trade, explain the logic behind it, and then report back on how it worked in the actual market. Get your trading tips from a team with real skin-in-the-game - and benefit from our experience.
Economic Calendar
Your shorthand guide to key economic releases for the week ahead. Review how currency markets reacted previously to these events and what they're forecasted to act next.
2009 Gold Outlook
By Brian Dolan, Chief Currency StrategistWhat does 2009 hold for gold traders?
See what FOREX.com's Chief Currency Strategist thinks.
FOREX.com's Current Outlook on Gold
Gold has seen a sharp appreciation since late 2008, rising around 42% from around $700/oz to an 11-month high just above $1000/oz on February 20, 2009, as global stock markets made fresh declines and investor anxiety remains elevated. (Spot gold reached its all-time high of $1032.70/oz on March 17, 2008; spot gold's highest daily close was at 1002.95/oz on March 14, 2008.) What are the main drivers behind the recent rise in gold?
Some analysts see gold's rise as the result of fears that massive government fiscal stimulus spending will lead to higher inflation in the years ahead. However, in our view for the near-term, the synchronized global recession makes the risks of deflation the greater threat, undermining the case for gold as an inflation hedge.
The primary source of gold's appreciation, in our estimation, is investor fear as traditional asset classes (read: stocks) have yet to show any signs of stabilization. In addition, sovereign credit rating downgrades, and fears of more to come, are undermining investor faith in many major national currencies, which helps explain why gold priced in EUR, JPY, GBP and other currencies has just reached new record highs. In a break with the traditional relationship, gold has appreciated alongside the USD, with both appealing as safe haven assets. We think gold's gain is a heavily sentiment-driven effect and is highly vulnerable to a reversal should risk appetites begin to improve in anticipation of the recession's nadir and expected stabilization/recovery.
We also see many contrarian signs that the gold price rise may be entering bubble territory. Chief among these is the surge in popularity of gold ETF's and the demand for gold coins and other physical forms among individual investors. People who have never owned gold are suddenly drawn into a 'can't lose' proposition, which is eerily similar to the real estate bubble. Other indications are the purported drop in confidence in fiat money (paper currency) even as international investors continue to snap up massive new government debt issuance. Lastly, gold commentators appear to be trying to outdo each other with progressively higher price forecasts, with some now topping $2000/oz. and some even as high as $3000/oz. Dow 36,000 anyone?
From the technical side, gold has formed a clearly defined price channel higher, while momentum studies point to a bearish divergence, suggesting price gains have become extreme and are in danger of a downside reversal. We are mindful that the $1000/oz level holds tremendous psychological significance, but it now also holds major technical significance, with the last venture above resulting in a sharp reversal lower. With the Feb. 20 high just above $1000 and subsequent retreat, we are left with a potential double top formation, which may signal a longer-term, multi-year high. We are watching the channel base at $945/oz currently and we would look to short gold on a daily close below. A daily close above $1050/oz will likely be needed to signal gains higher into uncharted territory.
Gold Trading Fundamentals
Gold holds a unique place among commodities in that it is both a physical commodity and a financial asset. Gold's physical uses are mainly for jewelry and industrial applications, especially in electronic circuitry across a whole range of industries. Gold's place as a financial asset primarily stems from its historical role as a store of wealth, particularly during times of crisis or when other asset classes are seen to be under-performing.
As a financial asset, gold has many different roles ascribed to it:
- Hedge against inflation--When inflation expectations are high or rising, gold tends to appreciate while other asset classes may see values eroded by inflation. When inflation expectations are low, gold may languish.
- Alternative to USD--Gold is frequently referred to as a second international reserve currency after the USD. During periods of pronounced USD weakness, gold may tend to appreciate as investors seek security in physical commodities. When the USD is strong, gold may lose its relative luster.
- Safe haven vehicle--during periods of heightened risk aversion or market turmoil, gold tends to appreciate as investors exit other financial assets (e.g. stocks and bonds) and flock to the traditional role of gold as a store of wealth. When primary financial markets are stable or rising, gold may lose attractiveness to those markets offering better expected returns.
2009 Silver Outlook
By Brian Dolan, Chief Currency StrategistCurrency dynamics
One thing to keep in mind when thinking about silver is that, like gold, it is also used as a hedge against the US dollar. Indeed, looking back to 2000, silver has a negative -80% correlation with the buck. In other words, when the dollar moves lower, silver tends to move higher at least eight out of ten times. Thus when the paramount reserve currency comes under pressure, investors seek out other alternatives - like gold and silver. As such any long trade in silver could also be viewed as a short against the USD, and vice versa. While the current economic environment has seen some of the traditional strong negative correlations between precious metals and the US dollar weaken, we would keep in mind that they can resurface at any time.
Silver has seen appreciable gains since the financial crisis intensified in October 2008 when the precious metal was trading near $9.00/oz. Its strength has recently been pared after making a 2009 high close at $14.44 to just about the $12 mark recently. While solid demand from the ETF community has helped the metal remain firm, the weakening global economy has seen demand for products where silver is a component decline - thus capping prices somewhat.
Investor demand for silver remained robust through the end of last year with the ETF community holding a total silver inventory estimated at more than 6,000 tons. This is an increase from 5,290 tons at the end of 2007 and less than 4,000 the prior year. Physical coin demand has also been strong on the heels of the financial crisis as investors flock to physical store of value assets.
Industrial demand for silver has suffered as economic activity grinds lower around the globe and substitutes for the precious metal take market share away. Some traditional areas where silver has seen an appreciable decline are photography, jewelry and silverware. Jewelry and silverware sales have slumped as consumers the world over clean up their balance sheets and cut spending. On the photography front, silver has seen demand plunge as digital systems become the norm.
However, silver has seen demand hold up rather well in the electronics space and this should come as no surprise when we witness the +18% year-to-date outperformance in tech stocks versus the overall market. The ability of the tech space to withstand the financial crisis continues to surprise market participants (is an iPod a staple now?) and this coupled with what we expect to be firm demand from the investment community seeking a safe haven play as economic uncertainty prevails are likely to keep silver prices well supported over the balance of 2009.
Technical outlook
On the technical front, one of the clearest patterns that look to be playing out is a bull flag on the daily charts. The metal has consolidated lower as global stock markets rocketed higher off the early March lows and looks to be setting up for a sharp snap higher. Support in this bull flag formation comes in by $11.00 while resistance, and the potential breakout level, sits near $13.10. The measured move objective if the pattern plays out would be near $19.00.
Silver is likely to encounter some key Fibonacci resistance on any move higher. The first looks to be by $13.40 which is a 38.2% retracement of the March 2008 to October 2008 move from $21.31 to $8.46. The 61.8% retracement level is by $16.40 and should be a decent barrier. For support, we would also focus on the daily up-trend line currently near $11.50 and expect very good buying interest on moves into $10.00 -- the late December 2008 lows.
2009 Oil Outlook
By Jane Foley, Research Director, FOREX.com UKHopes of rising demand underpin prices
As a whole, the world economy remains in a weakened state with demand for commodities undermined by the continuation of recessionary conditions in many major economies. That said, better than expected US non-farm payrolls data for July gave fresh appeal to the view that the US economy may return to growth by the final quarter of this year and better than expected Q2 GDP data for Germany and France has also lifted optimism. Several Asian countries including China and S. Korea, both of which have significant industrial bases, also announced better than expected GDP data for Q2. (In 2007 China and S.Korea were the second and eleventh largest oil consumers respectively). This was bullish news for commodities prices as has been the news that oil imports to China surged by 42% to 4.62 mln b/d in July. However, with respect to Germany, China and S.Korea, domestic expansionary fiscal and monetary policies were instrumental in supporting growth in the second quarter. Going forward increased demand in major export markets will be needed to ensure sustainability of high growth rates. A return to growth in the world?s largest economy thus remains the key bellwether for global economic activity and a prime driver of commodity demand going forward.
Brent futures are currently trading over 60% above the February trough. The strengthening in economic activity in Asia was key to the turnaround in price during the spring. The anticipation of stronger demand from the US has been a more recent development. There is, however, a significant caveat associated with this. Better expectations for US growth have simultaneously raised the prospect of a stronger USD. The USD is governed by a complex set of drivers including bearish factors such as the huge fiscal deficit and a (improved) current account deficit. This suggests there are no guarantees of a stronger USD when the US economy improves. The robust inverse relationship between the value of the USD and USD denominated commodities means that higher growth in the US and increased demand for commodities may not translate to a rise in oil prices if growth also drives the value of the USD higher. Given its implications for commodities prices, a strong USD is favoured by all oil importers. A significant increase in oil prices could stifle economic recovery and demand in many emerging markets.
Prices of USD denominated commodities have an inverse relationship with the USD
While global economic recovery may prove to be a rocky path, it seems very likely that global demand for commodities will strengthen into 2010. The IEA last week increased its estimates for oil demand in 2009 and 2010 estimating that the world will need an average of 85.25 mln b/d of oil. On the supply side the IEA estimated that non-OPEC supply rose in July and it foresees that stronger than expected Russian output will lead to an upwardly revised projection of 51 mb/d in 2009 and 51.4 mb/d in 2010. OPEC oil would meet the remaining demand. In July 2009 OPEC is estimated to have produced 28.7 mb/d.
Clearly inventories measure the buffer between supply and demand. Low levels of inventories can increase volatility in oil prices though this not the case at present. By the end of July US inventories were above the upper boundary of the average range for this time of year and this trend has been continued into August. While a third consecutive rise in US oil stockpiles has undermined oil prices hopes of a recovery in global demand could see Brent ticking back above $75.00 going into September.